By David Blocker
The 1972 federal election was one of the closest in Canadian political history. The exact results of the election remained in doubt for several days after the polls closed on October 30, 1972. After recounts indicated the Liberals had tied with the Progressive Conservatives at 109 seats Prime Minister Pierre Trudeau decided to remain in government with a minority.[1]
Considering the parallels between the circumstances around the 1972 election campaign and the current context raises several interesting questions.
First, after winning power with a campaign full of euphoric promise, will progressive disappointment in Justin Trudeau’s first term result in Liberal election losses, as it did for Pierre in 1972?
Second, in the 1972 federal election the question of Canada’s relationship with the United States loomed large because of a right-wing American president’s protectionist economic agenda. How will similar circumstances affect the 2019 federal election?
Third, will a divided conservative vote in Quebec benefit Justin Trudeau as it did his father in 1972?
Finally, is Jagmeet Singh willing and/or able to adopt the left-populist rhetoric that worked for David Lewis in the 1972 campaign propelling the NDP to its best result (at the time) and leaving the party holding the balance of power in the House of Commons?
The first, and most obvious, point of comparison between 2019 and 1972 is the Trudeau connection. Continue reading