The Economic Consequences of Tariffs

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Image courtesy of Paul McKeen.

This is the first post in a three-part series on the history of tariffs. You can read the introduction by David Webster here.

Heather McKeen – Edwards

The idea of tariffs is far from new, politically or economically. In fact, most countries in the world have some tariffs right now. Tariffs are a type of trade barrier, and their goal is usually to slow down imports for a variety of domestic reasons. Historically, governments used them to build their own domestic industry by making the foreign versions of goods more expensive, thus reducing consumer demand for those goods. In today’s world this logic could be framed as an effort to ‘reshore’ industries that have moved overseas.

Beyond industrial development, there are two other common economic reasons for countries to apply a tariff. The first is compensation for perceived unfair trade practices in a sector. Somebody is doing something to manipulate the market, like dumping their goods cheaply in your country. That’s not fair, so you can compensate or retaliate by putting tariffs in place, though usually after trying a process of dispute settlement at the World Trade Organization (WTO) or other dispute-settlement mechanism first. The second is national security. Countries in general are usually concerned about giving up control over certain industries, particularly those that are strategically important. For example, if you don’t have any capacity to produce your own steel, it can affect security and military autonomy. We may see Trump invoke national security in justifying tariffs as it is one of the reasons in US law that he can unilaterally impose tariffs, but security aspects are not necessarily the underlying reason. In fact Trump has presented a myriad of inconsistent reasons in his rationale for tariffs over the past year. 

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On Tariffs

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David Webster
— Tariffs on you!
— No, bigger tariffs on you!
— No, I have the biggest, most beautiful tariffs, and I am slapping them on you!

Anyone could be excused for thinking it was a battle of toddlers. But this is deadly serious: a trade war, one that reminds us of moments of trade tension between Canada and the United States in the past. Only this time, it’s supersized.

Canada has historically balanced its trade between the imperial mother in Britain (the Conservative favourite) and the upstart Uncle Sam (more beloved by Liberals). When the United States slapped tariffs on Canada, trade soared with the UK. The first PM, John A. MacDonald, boasted of his “National Policy” that would nurture infant Canadian industries behind tariff walls. Wilfrid Laurier sought “unrestricted reciprocity” (freer trade had fancier names back then) with the US, and was resoundingly thumped in the 1911 election for it, by the pro-British nationalist Tory Robert Borden. The North American neighbours converged as the Second World War loomed in Europe and Britain’s weakness forced Canada into the loving embrace of Franklin D. Roosevelt’s and his New Deal. Mackenzie King stopped just short of a free trade deal, fearing “the fate of Sir Wilfrid,” who always had sage advice to offer to King from beyond the grave.

Gradual, deepening trade embrace and political alliance seemed the unalterable destiny of the US and the country North of America throughout the Cold War, with Lester Pearson and Lyndon Johnson’s Auto Pact perhaps the best symbol of neighbourliness. Then came Brian Mulroney, who finally got the Free Trade Agreement that had been considered so many times before. No more trying to diversify trade – Mulroney was all-in on the American gamble. And for years, it seemed to be fulfilling some of what he promised when he fought and won the 1988 election on this issue – more prosperity in a more integrated continental economy.

What would Mulroney make of recent events?

Canada is now faced with an existential crisis over President Donald Trump’s tax increases, which he calls tariffs. Trump threatens to destroy the Canadian economy, as a way to annex the country. And yet, few people actually know what a tariff is, or how trade policy works, now and in the past.

To help clear up the issues, at least for a small number of Canadians, a group of colleagues at Bishop’s University held a forum on the history, politics and economics of tariffs, in January of 2025. This forum, which will run over the next three days, offers a series of reflections in edited articles.

First, political economist Heather McKeen-Edwards offers a primer on the economics of tariffs, demystifying a lot of the topic. Next, historian Gordon Barker surveys the US history of tariffs (spoiler: there have been a lot them over the decades). Finally, Gilbert Gagné reflects on the politics of tariffs, drawing on his expertise as a leading political scientist of NAFTA, as we used to call the now-defunct North American Free Trade Agreement. Together, these articles aim to help us understand the history and the issues behind the “dumbest trade war” in a long time.

Trump needs a history lesson. Maybe we all do

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By Robert Englebert

The tariff war has begun.

Since coming into office only weeks ago, Donald Trump’s on-and-off again threat of taking a sledgehammer to free trade has kept Canadians on edge.  

Canadians are angry and frustrated, especially at Trump’s continued assertion that our country is not viable and that we should become the 51st state.

I am not all that convinced that Trump’s end goal is to annex Canada, but if for some reason that is the objective, he need only look to Canada’s long history to understand how unlikely he is to succeed.

Reproduced in A Caricature History of Canada, Volume I, 23 Sept 1869 (wikimedia commons)

Our countries seem alike, but are not the same. We have had many opportunities to join our neighbours to the south and have repeatedly decided to chart a different path, each step shaping distinctive Canadian political structures and traditions.

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Rethinking Publishers

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Cover image of Eric W. Sager’s most recent work.

Eric W. Sager

I did not expect to publish a book towards the end of the eighth decade of my life. And if you had asked me, ten years ago, whether I would write a book about the meaning of history, I would have declared such a thing to be impossible. In retirement, however, I found myself determined to try to answer basic questions about the scholarly discipline that has absorbed my life. The project was at first entirely for my own edification. As I proceeded, I was persuaded that there might be something of interest to others, and so I decided to seek a publisher, and to persist with the search despite rejections. The story of what follows says something about rewards for persistence, and perhaps also something about our relationship with publishers – a relationship in which we historians may have more influence than we may realize. 

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Shocked, but not Surprised: The End of USAID in Historical Perspective

Jill Campbell-Miller

Photograph of a Black girl seated at a desk. She is wearing a pink collared shirt with stripes and is using a pen to write in a notebook. She is looking at something off camera.
Image of a Student Working for the Instagram Account of the United States Agency for International Development (USAID). United States of America National Archives. NAID: 236741847.

Shocked, but not surprised.

It’s an ambivalent set of emotions that I, and I’m guessing many others, have become well acquainted with since 2016, when Trump first took charge of the White House. And it’s something that I felt acutely when I heard the news about Elon Musk gutting the United States Agency for International Development (USAID). After all, this is happening under the same President that once referred to Haiti and some African nations as “shithole countries,” so I could not be truly surprised. But it was still a shock when I read that as the unofficial head of the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE), a group that has no Congressional authority, Musk began to shutter USAID operations at the beginning of February. Musk bragged on his social media platform that he was putting USAID “into the wood chipper.”  At that time, the USAID website went dark, and as I am writing this, it is still down.

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A Queer Road Trip through Atlantic Canada

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by Meredith J Batt and Jess Wilton

The queer history of Atlantic Canada is embedded in the region’s landscape and its people. As we guide you across the region exploring some queer nooks and crannies along the way, we will introduce you to the way queer pasts, presents, and futures collide and overlap. 

It’s spring and we begin in Northern New Brunswick. The trees along the majestic Wolastoq River (St. John) have begun to bud. Meredith is driving as they guide us through our first leg. Sometimes called the “Drive Through Province,” 2SLGBTQ+ New Brunswickers have created strong networks for decades and have memories of fun and frolicking that are not to be missed! As we approach the pulp mill town of Edmundston in the heart of la territoire brayonne, we see Fort Kent across the water. This was the site of meetings for the Northern Lambda Nord (NLN) group founded in January 1980, which provided support for rural 2SLGBTQ+ folks. NLN had members from both Maine and Northern New Brunswick; they even published a bilingual newsletter to let community members know about events.   

Northern Lambda Nord, “Our Next Meeting” 30 March, 1980; Fort Kent, Maine. Includes a hand drawn map showing directions (MC4111-MC6-MS2-2b QHINB Collection)
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Political Party Leaders’ Roles

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By Sean Graham

Sean Graham is joined by Amanda Bittner, author of Platform or Personality: The Role of Party Leaders in Elections. They talk about how polling data is used, partisan voting patterns, and the role of leaders in swaying voters. They also discuss policies v. personalities, the significance of branding leaders, and the challenges of attracting people to politics.

Historical Headline of the Week

Douglas Todd, “Why Canadian journalists are entering politics at a rapid rate,” Vancouver Sun, January 2, 2025.

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Genealogy and Technology with Dr. Blaine Bettinger

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Sara Wilmshurst

Black and white photo of a girl in a white, knee-length dress holding a bouquet of flowers and standing in an open metal gate. The photo is double-exposed so images of two babies and two adult women are faintly superimposed.
A girl with flowers, a family appearing behind. Circa 1905. Library of Congress. Via the Public Domain Image Archive.

Dr. Blaine Bettinger (aka TheGeneticGenealogist) kindly participated in an email interview with our editor Sara Wilmshurst and shared some insight on the changing practice of genealogy.

SW: Please introduce yourself to the readers.

BB: My name is Blaine Bettinger, and I am a genealogist specializing the fields of DNA and artificial intelligence. By day I am a intellectual property attorney, by night (and weekends!) I am a genealogy educator. I have a Ph.D. in biochemistry and molecular biology, and I have authored several books examining the intersection of DNA and traditional genealogical research.

SW: How have commercial DNA tests impacted your practice as a genealogist?

BB: I am probably very biased, as it has completely changed my practice as a genealogist, and indeed changed my entire life. Since taking my first genetic genealogy test in 2003, I have incorporated DNA into every aspect of my genealogical research (and of course become an educator in that field!). Speaking on behalf of other genealogists, however, commercial DNA tests have had many different impacts, from confirming existing research, breaking down brick walls, and uncovering long-hidden family secrets. DNA has become an essential component of genealogical research.

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Steamship Empress of Asia – What’s Old is News

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By Sean Graham

This week, I’m joined by Dan Black, author of Oceans of Fate: Peace and Peril Aboard the Steamship Empress of Asia. We talk about the ship’s earliest voyage following its 1913 commissioning, its service during the First World War and the Chinese Labour Corps, and its refitting after the war. We also talk about its interwar service, its sinking during the Second World War, and how the ship’s history is best told through the story of those who were on-board.

Historical Headline of the Week

John Mackie, “Historic Chinese, Canadian Pacific Railway and Klondike Collections Unite in new UBC Museum,” Vancouver Sun, April 26, 2024.

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Queering Atlantic Canada: Stories, Histories, Archives

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by Jess Wilton

Cradled by the Atlantic Ocean, the provinces of Nova Scotia, New Brunswick, Prince Edward Island (PEI), and Newfoundland and Labrador occupy a unique place in queer and Canadian history. “Queering Atlantic Canada: Stories, Histories, and Archives of Atlantic Canada” is an ActiveHistory.ca series guest edited by Jess Wilton. Over the next year, this series will offer an introduction to the work of activists, archivists, historians, community members, and artists in the region as we come together to share our stories and preserve our histories. This first post offers a brief foundation to the history of Atlantic Canada and its queer pasts. 

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